Category: philosophy of science

• monte carlo simulations philosophy of science statistics

  

  The Linear Probability Model Ain’t So Bad

  Although it feels almost sacrilegious, I have recently come around to the linear probability model (LPM). It is easy to understand, its problems are surmountable, and it actually outperforms logistic regression under certain conditions. As I often point out, I have a soft spot for “ham sandwiches”, which is basically…

  May 1, 2024
• philosophy of science

  Design & Analysis (& Theory): Friends, Lovers, or Nothing

  Statistical models represent the data-generation process. A recent paper I read (Niemeyer et al., 2023), building on the work of John Ioannidis and others, suggested that most published findings in my particular slice of social science, criminology and criminal justice, were false. A claim like that is not as provocative…

  December 13, 2023